Kentucky’s mandatory risk-assessment policy changed bail practice but its effects eroded over time; separate evidence indicates that departures toward harsher conditions were more common for Black defendants.

SocioLens project,

Claim LD05-HQ-C05 (v1.0)

This is an older version. Read the current version, v1.1, or what changed in it.

Kentucky’s mandatory risk-assessment policy changed bail practice but its effects eroded over time; separate evidence indicates that departures toward harsher conditions were more common for Black defendants.

Provenance and status

Claim type: Fact
Publication status: Eligible for publication, with a qualifier
Verification state: Checked against the primary source. Who checked this claim is not recorded for it; claim checks so far were AI-led, and no person has checked claims against their sources.
Does not license: Universal claim that risk assessment worsens racial disparity
Limitations: Exact override proportions/magnitudes remain HOLD
What this line marks HOLD was not cleared for public use, so this site does not give it. Check the original source.
Source (as cited): Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103; Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score,” 2019 working paper
Source type: Peer-reviewed journal article, Working paper (recorded as “Peer-reviewed law/economics article + working paper”)
Institutional position: Independent academic
Maturity of the evidence: Rapidly maturing evidence
Recorded date: 25 September 2026
Currentness / correction: This is not the current version. No correction or concern is recorded on its sources.

Sources this version cites

Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103 (2018) (Peer-reviewed journal article)
Read the original
Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score: Evidence from Kentucky Bail Decisions,” Harvard John M. Olin Fellows’ Discussion Paper 85 (2019) (Working paper)
No checked link to the original yet.

Version

This page shows version v1.0. Its record never changes, even when newer evidence arrives; the site may add a note to the page or withhold a figure not cleared for public use.

NEWER VERSION EXISTS: read the current version, v1.1 (LD05-HQ-C05--v1.1). This version is explicitly superseded by LD05-HQ-C05--v1.1.

Versions: v1.0, v1.1 · current

Raw record: every recorded field, with its coded values

All 25 canonical Claim fields, verbatim, with the coded values derived from them. The plain-language labels above are read from these.

Claim type (coded): FACT (as printed: “FACT”)
Publication status (coded): ELIGIBLE (QUALIFIED) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH QUALIFIER”)
Verification state (coded): CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY
Source type (coded): PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE, WORKING_PAPER
Maturity (coded): RAPIDLY_MATURING

#	Canonical field	Canonical value (verbatim)	Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1	CLAIM ID	LD05-HQ-C05	—
2	PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM	Kentucky’s mandatory risk-assessment policy changed bail practice but its effects eroded over time; separate evidence indicates that departures toward harsher conditions were more common for Black defendants.	—
3	CLAIM TYPE	FACT	base_types: FACT
4	RESEARCH STRAND	B/F	—
5	MATURITY	RAPIDLY MATURING	states: RAPIDLY_MATURING
6	SOURCE	Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103; Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score,” 2019 working paper	source_ids: SRC-LD05-STEVENSON-MINNESOTA-LAW-REVIEW-2018, SRC-LD05-ALBRIGHT-RISK-SCORE-2019
7	SOURCE TYPE	Peer-reviewed law/economics article + working paper	classes: PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE, WORKING_PAPER
8	INSTITUTIONAL POSITION	Independent academic	—
9	SCOPE	Kentucky pretrial bail	—
10	DESIGN	Quasi-experimental / observational	—
11	SAMPLE / DATASET	>1 million cases in Stevenson; case-level Kentucky data in Albright	—
12	MODEL / TOOL / VERSION	Kentucky pretrial risk/default system	—
13	COMPARATOR	Pre-policy practice / same-score defendants	—
14	MAIN RESULT	Initial practice change eroded; harsher override direction differed by race	—
15	INFERENTIAL TARGET	Durability and distribution of algorithmic constraint	—
16	DOES NOT LICENSE	Universal claim that risk assessment worsens racial disparity	—
17	VERIFICATION STATE	CONTENT VERIFIED	state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18	LIMITATIONS	Exact override proportions/magnitudes remain HOLD	—
19	CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES	Allegheny shows opposite fairness direction for human departure	—
20	GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE	US/English	—
21	DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER	Black defendants exposed to harsher departures in working-paper evidence	—
22	R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS	D5, D4a, L-A, L-C	—
23	WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?	Peer-reviewed update reversing the direction	—
24	PUBLICATION STATUS	ELIGIBLE WITH QUALIFIER	state: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: QUALIFIED
25	RECORDED DATE	2026-09-25	—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: D5 (DOMAIN); D4a (SUB_AREA); L-A (LENS); L-C (LENS)

The sources as recorded, with their record IDs and coded source types:

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

“Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103” → Stevenson (2018), “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action” (SRC-LD05-STEVENSON-MINNESOTA-LAW-REVIEW-2018--v1.0) — Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103 (2018); class PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE (explicit public provenance pin)
“Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score,” 2019 working paper” → Albright (2019), “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score…” (SRC-LD05-ALBRIGHT-RISK-SCORE-2019--v1.0) — Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score: Evidence from Kentucky Bail Decisions,” Harvard John M. Olin Fellows’ Discussion Paper 85 (2019); class WORKING_PAPER (explicit public provenance pin)

Cited by Living Debate versions

Discretion curtailed, relocated or encoded? (v0.1) LD-05

Cite this page

SocioLens project. (2026, September 25). Kentucky’s mandatory risk-assessment policy changed bail practice but its effects eroded over time; separate evidence indicates that departures toward harsher conditions were more common for Black defendants [Claim LD05-HQ-C05, version v1.0]. SocioLens. https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld05-hq-c05/v1.0/

@misc{sociolens_ld05_hq_c05_v1_0,
  author = {{SocioLens project}},
  title = {Kentucky’s mandatory risk-assessment policy changed bail practice but its effects eroded over time; separate evidence indicates that departures toward harsher conditions were more common for Black defendants.},
  year = {2026},
  date = {2026-09-25},
  howpublished = {\url{https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld05-hq-c05/v1.0/}},
  note = {Claim LD05-HQ-C05, version v1.0}
}

The link points to this version, whose record never changes. For a finding, cite the original study as well: SocioLens summarizes research and does not replace it.

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 5deb070da0e89df447a7770752bd275e55af667fbc69a9d9ceea75696b5f67d3.

Frozen Drive-derived inputs

R04 — LD-05 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID 1WkAv7jmWIrr1GBmYSv66jDc8m222Yd9z; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified ; block “ENTRY 05 — LD05-HQ-C05” SHA-256 607e0a0ac915708e9f46dfd93e0e44746ed630f97289c227ad6c6d49dd862493; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/r04-ld05-claim-ledger-v1.0.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the canonical ledger artifact version (R04 — LD-05 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0); Implementation Architecture Selection §5
CURRENT_POINTER = false — basis: not current: superseded by LD05-HQ-C05--v1.1 (manifest supersedes relation)
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD05-STEVENSON-MINNESOTA-LAW-REVIEW-2018--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 05 — LD05-HQ-C05 cites "Stevenson, “Assessing Risk Assessment in Action,” Minnesota Law Review 103"; the frozen field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's ledger block; Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #37 Source inventory): ledger C05 fields 6–8; Batch 01 §6 "Primary source:"; KEY EVIDENCE.
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD05-ALBRIGHT-RISK-SCORE-2019--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 05 — LD05-HQ-C05 cites "Albright, “If You Give a Judge a Risk Score,” 2019 working paper"; the frozen field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's ledger block; Drive-derived identity authority (Issue #37 Source inventory): ledger C02/C05 fields 6–8; Batch 01 §7; KEY EVIDENCE ("Working paper").
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD05-STEVENSON-MINNESOTA-LAW-REVIEW-2018--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (Architecture Proof Protocol v0.1 AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §6): explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion — the pinned field-6 Source record.
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD05-ALBRIGHT-RISK-SCORE-2019--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (Architecture Proof Protocol v0.1 AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §6): explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion — the pinned field-6 Source record.