A widely cited 2024 conspiracy-belief experiment has been under a Science Editorial Expression of Concern since June 2026; its substantive effect estimate should not be treated as settled pending resolution.

SocioLens project,

Claim LD10-HQ-C11 (v1.0)

Provenance and status

Claim type: Fact (status)
Publication status: Eligible for publication (status only)
Verification state: A concern, correction or retraction is recorded for its source; its status was checked; its effect is on hold (recorded as “CONTENT VERIFIED STATUS / EFFECT HOLD”). Who checked this claim is not recorded for it; claim checks so far were AI-led, and no person has checked claims against their sources.
Does not license: Settled conspiracy-belief effect magnitude
Limitations: Journal review unresolved at evidence cut
Source (as cited): Costello et al., Science 2024; Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 Jun 2026
Source type: Peer-reviewed journal article, Editorial notice or correction (recorded as “Peer-reviewed article + editorial notice”)
Institutional position: Independent academic / journal
Maturity of the evidence: Contested evidence
Recorded date: 25 September 2026
Currentness / correction: This is the current version. Correction or concern on its sources: Costello et al., Science, 2024 — conspiracy-belief experiment: concern raised by Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 June 2026.

Sources this version cites

Costello et al., Science, 2024 — conspiracy-belief experiment (Peer-reviewed journal article)
Read the original Correction or concern: Costello et al., Science, 2024 — conspiracy-belief experiment: concern raised by Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 June 2026.
Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 June 2026 (Editorial notice or correction)
Read the original Correction or concern: Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 June 2026: raises a concern about Costello et al., Science, 2024 — conspiracy-belief experiment.

Version

This page shows version v1.0. Its record never changes, even when newer evidence arrives; the site may add a note to the page or withhold a figure not cleared for public use.

This pinned version is also the current version.

Versions: v1.0 · current

Raw record: every recorded field, with its coded values

All 25 canonical Claim fields, verbatim, with the coded values derived from them. The plain-language labels above are read from these.

Claim type (coded): FACT (STATUS) (as printed: “FACT / STATUS”)
Publication status (coded): ELIGIBLE_STATUS_ONLY (as printed: “ELIGIBLE STATUS ONLY”)
Verification state (coded): CONCERN_FLAGGED_OR_RETRACTED (STATUS_VERIFIED, EFFECT_HOLD)
Source type (coded): PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE, EDITORIAL_NOTICE_OR_CORRECTION
Maturity (coded): CONTESTED
Source correction / concern relations (coded): SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024 CONCERN_FLAGGED_BY SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026

#	Canonical field	Canonical value (verbatim)	Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1	CLAIM ID	LD10-HQ-C11	—
2	PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM	A widely cited 2024 conspiracy-belief experiment has been under a Science Editorial Expression of Concern since June 2026; its substantive effect estimate should not be treated as settled pending resolution.	—
3	CLAIM TYPE	FACT / STATUS	base_types: FACT · qualifiers: STATUS
4	RESEARCH STRAND	A/B — Persuasion and durability	—
5	MATURITY	CONTESTED	states: CONTESTED
6	SOURCE	Costello et al., Science 2024; Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 Jun 2026	source_ids: SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024, SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026
7	SOURCE TYPE	Peer-reviewed article + editorial notice	classes: PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE, EDITORIAL_NOTICE_OR_CORRECTION
8	INSTITUTIONAL POSITION	Independent academic / journal	—
9	SCOPE	U.S. conspiracy-belief experiment	—
10	DESIGN	RCT + publication-status review	—
11	SAMPLE / DATASET	Original study; corrected pipeline under journal review	—
12	MODEL / TOOL / VERSION	GPT-4 Turbo	—
13	COMPARATOR	Control conversation	—
14	MAIN RESULT	Science flagged reporting/screening inconsistencies and code-merging errors; authors say corrected results retain direction/significance/size	—
15	INFERENTIAL TARGET	Current publication status	—
16	DOES NOT LICENSE	Settled conspiracy-belief effect magnitude	—
17	VERIFICATION STATE	CONTENT VERIFIED STATUS / EFFECT HOLD	state: CONCERN_FLAGGED_OR_RETRACTED · qualifiers: STATUS_VERIFIED, EFFECT_HOLD · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18	LIMITATIONS	Journal review unresolved at evidence cut	—
19	CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES	No final Science resolution located	—
20	GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE	US / English	—
21	DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER	NO EVIDENCE LOCATED	—
22	R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS	D7, D3, R-1	—
23	WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?	Science resolution of the concern	—
24	PUBLICATION STATUS	ELIGIBLE STATUS ONLY	state: ELIGIBLE_STATUS_ONLY
25	RECORDED DATE	2026-09-25	—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: D7 (DOMAIN); D3 (DOMAIN); R-1 (LENS)

The sources as recorded, with their record IDs and coded source types:

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

“Costello et al., Science 2024” → Costello et al., Science, 2024 — conspiracy-belief… (SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024--v1.0) — Costello et al., Science, 2024 — conspiracy-belief experiment; class PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE — status: CONCERN_FLAGGED_BY SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026 (explicit public provenance pin)
“Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 Jun 2026” → Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 June 2026 (SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026--v1.0) — Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 June 2026; class EDITORIAL_NOTICE_OR_CORRECTION — status: FLAGS_CONCERN_ON SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024 (explicit public provenance pin)

Cited by Living Debate versions

Persuasion, Intermediation & the Information Order (v0.1) LD-10
Raw record: where this debate places the claim, with its coded facets
HQ placement: SC-LD10-03; facets: evidence_status=CONCERN_FLAGGED, publication_mode=STATUS_ONLY, source_maturity=PEER_REVIEWED_WITH_EDITORIAL_NOTICE

Cite this page

SocioLens project. (2026, September 25). A widely cited 2024 conspiracy-belief experiment has been under a Science Editorial Expression of Concern since June 2026; its substantive effect estimate should not be treated as settled pending resolution [Claim LD10-HQ-C11, version v1.0]. SocioLens. https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld10-hq-c11/v1.0/

@misc{sociolens_ld10_hq_c11_v1_0,
  author = {{SocioLens project}},
  title = {A widely cited 2024 conspiracy-belief experiment has been under a Science Editorial Expression of Concern since June 2026; its substantive effect estimate should not be treated as settled pending resolution.},
  year = {2026},
  date = {2026-09-25},
  howpublished = {\url{https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld10-hq-c11/v1.0/}},
  note = {Claim LD10-HQ-C11, version v1.0}
}

The link points to this version, whose record never changes. For a finding, cite the original study as well: SocioLens summarizes research and does not replace it.

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 560827af9593fddbe907d1d398371feee7d6d26b01adf75d4bfc4b5674370f46.

Frozen Drive-derived inputs

R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID 1TwCjF7zxWTDs4bDvwQfEb5hbMAMuMu3vmK53kcOdo54; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified 2026-09-25T21:56:50.285Z; block “ENTRY 11 — LD10-HQ-C11” SHA-256 a3b7babf7d304ae4f5d36e7210ac162fcffd65b5f4e2f7135322ca4d040ee890; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/r07-ld10-claim-ledger-v1.0.
SocioLens — Proof Source Registry v0.4 (v0.4) — Drive ID 1_-GLmj6PfetWDQH2KldMv-61vmSmzdAyyxgZZZCFnbE; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified 2026-09-27T19:04:00.374Z; block “REGISTRY ENTRY SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024” SHA-256 c9a3e0887f03cba778b49db78e07cbac64071ec49f577273eedcf0c1f33e9f0f; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT PROOF SOURCE REGISTRY.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/proof-source-registry-v0.4.
SocioLens — Proof Source Registry v0.4 (v0.4) — Drive ID 1_-GLmj6PfetWDQH2KldMv-61vmSmzdAyyxgZZZCFnbE; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified 2026-09-27T19:04:00.374Z; block “REGISTRY ENTRY SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026” SHA-256 a9137358e79b2ece2413f8f0efb2ba3fb179c575804527ef059f82bc258ab74d; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT PROOF SOURCE REGISTRY.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/proof-source-registry-v0.4.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the canonical ledger artifact version (R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0); Implementation Architecture Selection §5 logical_id/version convention.
CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status for "R07 — LD-10 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED": "CURRENT."
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 11 — LD10-HQ-C11 cites "Costello et al., Science 2024"; Builder identification: the cited work is Proof Source Registry v0.4 identity SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024 (canonical label "Costello et al., Science, 2024 — conspiracy-belief experiment"); SocioLens record v1.0 is its sole record.
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 11 — LD10-HQ-C11 cites "Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 Jun 2026"; Builder identification: the cited work is Proof Source Registry v0.4 identity SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026 (canonical label "Science Editorial Expression of Concern, 11 June 2026"); SocioLens record v1.0 is its sole record.
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD10-COSTELLO-2024--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §4, §6): status-only ClaimVersion — the pinned status-bearing / affected field-6 Source record, rendered with its status relation visible.
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD10-SCIENCE-EOC-2026--v1.0 — basis: Issue #5 proof rendering (AP-08 / Amendment v1.2 §4, §6): status-only ClaimVersion — the pinned status-bearing / affected field-6 Source record, rendered with its status relation visible.