Claim LD09-SL-C05 (v1.0)
Across arXiv, bioRxiv and SSRN preprints (2018–2024), authors whose abstracts first showed signs of language-model writing then posted 36.2%, 52.9% and 59.8% more papers respectively; for their manuscripts, more complex writing went with lower odds of publication, the reverse of the pattern for human-written ones; and adopters drew on “more diverse prior work”, being 11.9% more likely to cite books and citing younger documents.
Provenance and status
- Claim type
- Estimate
- Publication status
- Eligible for publication, with qualifiers: source position
- Verification state
- Checked against the primary source. Who checked this claim is not recorded for it; claim checks so far were AI-led, and no person has checked claims against their sources.
- Does not license
- A causal effect (the authors “do not provide causal identification”), any change in research quality, or a collective narrowing
- Limitations
- Read in the authors’ version on arXiv, not the typeset journal text; the detector misses heavily edited text; the dating of adoption is disputed (LD09-SL-C06); arXiv’s founder is a co-author and arXiv’s own logs are used
- Source (as cited)
- Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187)
- Source type
- Peer-reviewed journal article (recorded as “Peer-reviewed journal article (author version)”)
- Institutional position
- Independent academic (Cornell University and UC Berkeley Haas School of Business); a co-author founded arXiv, whose access logs the study uses
- Maturity of the evidence
- Contested evidence
- Recorded date
- 15 October 2026
- Currentness / correction
- This is the current version. No correction or concern is recorded on its sources.
Sources this version cites
Version
This page shows version v1.0. Its record never changes, even when newer evidence arrives; the site may add a note to the page or withhold a figure not cleared for public use.
This pinned version is also the current version.
Raw record: every recorded field, with its coded values
All 25 canonical Claim fields, verbatim, with the coded values derived from them. The plain-language labels above are read from these.
- Claim type (coded)
- ESTIMATE (as printed: “ESTIMATE”)
- Publication status (coded)
- ELIGIBLE (SOURCE_POSITION) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH SOURCE-POSITION QUALIFIER”)
- Verification state (coded)
- CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY
- Source type (coded)
- PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE
- Maturity (coded)
- CONTESTED
| # | Canonical field | Canonical value (verbatim) | Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLAIM ID | LD09-SL-C05 | — |
| 2 | PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM | Across arXiv, bioRxiv and SSRN preprints (2018–2024), authors whose abstracts first showed signs of language-model writing then posted 36.2%, 52.9% and 59.8% more papers respectively; for their manuscripts, more complex writing went with lower odds of publication, the reverse of the pattern for human-written ones; and adopters drew on “more diverse prior work”, being 11.9% more likely to cite books and citing younger documents. | — |
| 3 | CLAIM TYPE | ESTIMATE | base_types: ESTIMATE |
| 4 | RESEARCH STRAND | A — Science and scholarship | — |
| 5 | MATURITY | CONTESTED | states: CONTESTED |
| 6 | SOURCE | Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187) | source_ids: SRC-SL-KUSUMEGI-ET-AL-SCIENCE-2025 |
| 7 | SOURCE TYPE | Peer-reviewed journal article (author version) | classes: PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE |
| 8 | INSTITUTIONAL POSITION | Independent academic (Cornell University and UC Berkeley Haas School of Business); a co-author founded arXiv, whose access logs the study uses | — |
| 9 | SCOPE | Preprints in the natural sciences, computer science, economics and, through SSRN, the social sciences, law and humanities | — |
| 10 | DESIGN | Stacked event study around each author’s first flagged month; difference-in-differences for citation behaviour | — |
| 11 | SAMPLE / DATASET | About 2.1 million preprints; author panels of 109,965 (arXiv), 43,218 (bioRxiv) and 15,370 (SSRN); 246 million arXiv access logs | — |
| 12 | MODEL / TOOL / VERSION | The authors’ own detector of language-model text in abstracts | — |
| 13 | COMPARATOR | The same authors before their first flagged paper, and similar authors not flagged as users | — |
| 14 | MAIN RESULT | Output +36.2% (arXiv), +52.9% (bioRxiv), +59.8% (SSRN), ranging 23.7–89.3% by field and author background; for language-model-assisted manuscripts, more complex writing predicts lower odds of publication, reversing the pattern for human-written ones; adopters are 11.9% more likely to cite books (not significant on SSRN), cite documents 0.379 years younger on average, with no evidence that the cited work is more impactful | — |
| 15 | INFERENTIAL TARGET | How language-model use changes the quantity of scientific output and the reading behind it | — |
| 16 | DOES NOT LICENSE | A causal effect (the authors “do not provide causal identification”), any change in research quality, or a collective narrowing | — |
| 17 | VERIFICATION STATE | CONTENT VERIFIED | state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN |
| 18 | LIMITATIONS | Read in the authors’ version on arXiv, not the typeset journal text; the detector misses heavily edited text; the dating of adoption is disputed (LD09-SL-C06); arXiv’s founder is a co-author and arXiv’s own logs are used | — |
| 19 | CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES | Method dispute: LD09-SL-C06; earlier narrowing with online search: LD09-SL-C03 | — |
| 20 | GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE | Global / English | — |
| 21 | DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER | The largest gains were for authors with Asian names at institutions in Asia (up to 89.3%), the smallest for authors with Caucasian names in English-speaking countries (23.7%) | — |
| 22 | R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS | LD-09, D3 | — |
| 23 | WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM? | A design that dates adoption independently of output, or evidence that the extra papers are not published | — |
| 24 | PUBLICATION STATUS | ELIGIBLE WITH SOURCE-POSITION QUALIFIER | state: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: SOURCE_POSITION |
| 25 | RECORDED DATE | 2026-10-15 | — |
Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: LD-09 (LIVING_DEBATE); D3 (DOMAIN)
The sources as recorded, with their record IDs and coded source types:
Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)
- “Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187)” → Kusumegi et al. (2025), “Scientific production in the era…” (SRC-SL-KUSUMEGI-ET-AL-SCIENCE-2025--v1.0) — Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187); class PEER_REVIEWED_JOURNAL_ARTICLE (explicit public provenance pin)
Cited by Living Debate versions
Cite this page
SocioLens project. (2026, October 15). Across arXiv, bioRxiv and SSRN preprints (2018–2024), authors whose abstracts first showed signs of language-model writing then posted 36.2%, 52.9% and 59.8% more papers respectively; for their manuscripts, more complex writing went with lower odds of publication, the reverse of the pattern for human-written ones; and adopters drew on “more diverse prior work”, being 11.9% more likely to cite books and citing younger documents [Claim LD09-SL-C05, version v1.0]. SocioLens. https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld09-sl-c05/v1.0/
@misc{sociolens_ld09_sl_c05_v1_0,
author = {{SocioLens project}},
title = {Across arXiv, bioRxiv and SSRN preprints (2018–2024), authors whose abstracts first showed signs of language-model writing then posted 36.2\%, 52.9\% and 59.8\% more papers respectively; for their manuscripts, more complex writing went with lower odds of publication, the reverse of the pattern for human-written ones; and adopters drew on “more diverse prior work”, being 11.9\% more likely to cite books and citing younger documents.},
year = {2026},
date = {2026-10-15},
howpublished = {\url{https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld09-sl-c05/v1.0/}},
note = {Claim LD09-SL-C05, version v1.0}
}The link points to this version, whose record never changes. For a finding, cite the original study as well: SocioLens summarizes research and does not replace it.
Research-of-record provenance
Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 4305dfb9cd86b7c1e4c50d5ddac7399e45476e534db6ff582af6ec023c3eeca0.
Repository-authored inputs (not Drive exports)
- SocioLens claim — LD09-SL-C05 v1.0 (v1.0) — written in the SocioLens repository by Project Lead (Claude, AI) on 2026-10-15; no Drive identity exists. Authority: AGENTS.md "Authority" (the Project Lead decides research content within the research-integrity rules) and the Owner's choice in the SocioLens project chat on 15 October 2026 to build the LD-09 debate; a new Claim, first version, written from the project's LD-09 source notes, checked against full texts or official abstracts. Block “ENTRY 05 — LD09-SL-C05” SHA-256
6e38aaff612e96e729224f56a95cb310f2725c57b4a1651b08487c67e21bc59a; fixturefixtures/authored/claims/LD09-SL-C05--v1.0.
Builder decisions (not Drive data)
- VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the repository-authored claim fixture version (SocioLens claim — LD09-SL-C05 v1.0); the first version of a new Claim of the LD-09 debate
- CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: repository-authored claim "SocioLens claim — LD09-SL-C05 v1.0" (Project Lead (Claude, AI), 2026-10-15); basis: AGENTS.md "Authority" (the Project Lead decides research content within the research-integrity rules) and the Owner's choice in the SocioLens project chat on 15 October 2026 to build the LD-09 debate; a new Claim, first version, written from the project's LD-09 source notes, checked against full texts or official abstracts
- FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-SL-KUSUMEGI-ET-AL-SCIENCE-2025--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 05 — LD09-SL-C05 cites "Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187)"; the only field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's repository-authored ledger block.
- SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-SL-KUSUMEGI-ET-AL-SCIENCE-2025--v1.0 — basis: explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion (Amendment v1.2 §6): the pinned field-6 Source record "Kusumegi, Yang, Ginsparg, de Vaan, Stuart & Yin, “Scientific production in the era of large language models,” Science 390, 2025 (author version arXiv:2601.13187)".