A theoretical model in which novices acquire tacit knowledge by working with experts shows that automating entry-level work can raise output yet lower long-run growth, even without cutting entry-level employment, by moving novices away from the most productive experts.

SocioLens project,

Claim LD04-SL-C19 (v1.0)

Provenance and status

Claim type: Interpretation
Publication status: Eligible for publication, with qualifiers: preprint
Verification state: Checked against the primary source; the source is a preprint. Who checked this claim is not recorded for it; claim checks so far were AI-led, and no person has checked claims against their sources.
Does not license: Any empirical estimate; an earlier version’s back-of-envelope growth cost, which is not in v9
Limitations: Model only; results depend on assumptions about how tacit knowledge is transmitted; the framing changed across versions (cite v9)
Source (as cited): Ide, “Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge,” arXiv:2507.16078 v9, June 2026
Source type: Preprint (recorded as “Preprint”)
Institutional position: Independent academic
Maturity of the evidence: Emerging evidence
Recorded date: 14 October 2026
Currentness / correction: This is the current version. No correction or concern is recorded on its sources.

Sources this version cites

Ide, “Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge,” arXiv:2507.16078 v9, June 2026 (Preprint)
Read the original

Version

This page shows version v1.0. Its record never changes, even when newer evidence arrives; the site may add a note to the page or withhold a figure not cleared for public use.

This pinned version is also the current version.

Versions: v1.0 · current

Raw record: every recorded field, with its coded values

All 25 canonical Claim fields, verbatim, with the coded values derived from them. The plain-language labels above are read from these.

Claim type (coded): INTERPRETATION (as printed: “INTERPRETATION”)
Publication status (coded): ELIGIBLE (PREPRINT) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH PREPRINT QUALIFIER”)
Verification state (coded): CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY (PREPRINT)
Source type (coded): PREPRINT
Maturity (coded): EMERGING

#	Canonical field	Canonical value (verbatim)	Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1	CLAIM ID	LD04-SL-C19	—
2	PUBLIC-FACING CLAIM	A theoretical model in which novices acquire tacit knowledge by working with experts shows that automating entry-level work can raise output yet lower long-run growth, even without cutting entry-level employment, by moving novices away from the most productive experts.	—
3	CLAIM TYPE	INTERPRETATION	base_types: INTERPRETATION
4	RESEARCH STRAND	D — Mechanisms and theory	—
5	MATURITY	EMERGING	states: EMERGING
6	SOURCE	Ide, “Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge,” arXiv:2507.16078 v9, June 2026	source_ids: SRC-SL-IDE-ARXIV-2507-16078-V9
7	SOURCE TYPE	Preprint	classes: PREPRINT
8	INSTITUTIONAL POSITION	Independent academic	—
9	SCOPE	Theoretical model	—
10	DESIGN	Overlapping-generations model of knowledge transmission	—
11	SAMPLE / DATASET	None (theory)	—
12	MODEL / TOOL / VERSION	Entry-level automation in the model	—
13	COMPARATOR	Economies without entry-level automation	—
14	MAIN RESULT	Entry-level automation raises output but can lower growth and welfare by reducing novices’ contact with top experts; changes that pair more novices with the best experts raise growth	—
15	INFERENTIAL TARGET	Long-run effects of entry-level automation on knowledge transmission	—
16	DOES NOT LICENSE	Any empirical estimate; an earlier version’s back-of-envelope growth cost, which is not in v9	—
17	VERIFICATION STATE	CONTENT VERIFIED PREPRINT	state: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · qualifiers: PREPRINT · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18	LIMITATIONS	Model only; results depend on assumptions about how tacit knowledge is transmitted; the framing changed across versions (cite v9)	—
19	CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCES	Formalises the apprenticeship-gap mechanism; untested empirically	—
20	GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGE	Not applicable / English	—
21	DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGER	Future experts, not current workers, bear the cost	—
22	R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKS	LD-04, D2	—
23	WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?	Empirical evidence on whether AI changes who novices work with and learn from	—
24	PUBLICATION STATUS	ELIGIBLE WITH PREPRINT QUALIFIER	state: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: PREPRINT
25	RECORDED DATE	2026-10-14	—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: LD-04 (LIVING_DEBATE); D2 (DOMAIN)

The sources as recorded, with their record IDs and coded source types:

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

“Ide, “Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge,” arXiv:2507.16078 v9, June 2026” → Ide (2026), “Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational…” (SRC-SL-IDE-ARXIV-2507-16078-V9--v1.0) — Ide, “Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge,” arXiv:2507.16078 v9, June 2026; class PREPRINT (explicit public provenance pin)

Cited by Living Debate versions

Cite this page

SocioLens project. (2026, October 14). A theoretical model in which novices acquire tacit knowledge by working with experts shows that automating entry-level work can raise output yet lower long-run growth, even without cutting entry-level employment, by moving novices away from the most productive experts [Claim LD04-SL-C19, version v1.0]. SocioLens. https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld04-sl-c19/v1.0/

@misc{sociolens_ld04_sl_c19_v1_0,
  author = {{SocioLens project}},
  title = {A theoretical model in which novices acquire tacit knowledge by working with experts shows that automating entry-level work can raise output yet lower long-run growth, even without cutting entry-level employment, by moving novices away from the most productive experts.},
  year = {2026},
  date = {2026-10-14},
  howpublished = {\url{https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld04-sl-c19/v1.0/}},
  note = {Claim LD04-SL-C19, version v1.0}
}

The link points to this version, whose record never changes. For a finding, cite the original study as well: SocioLens summarizes research and does not replace it.

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 9cb6e22d51f9ef20938b2065ef3a78a2abd7c69fd9c09d85173786f5b5eeb248.

Repository-authored inputs (not Drive exports)

SocioLens claim — LD04-SL-C19 v1.0 (v1.0) — written in the SocioLens repository by Project Lead (Claude, AI) on 2026-10-14; no Drive identity exists. Authority: AGENTS.md "Authority" (the Project Lead decides research content within the research-integrity rules) and the Owner's choice in the SocioLens project chat on 14 October 2026 to build the LD-04 debate; a new Claim, first version, written from the project's LD-04 source notes, checked against full texts or official abstracts. Block “ENTRY 19 — LD04-SL-C19” SHA-256 125045f9693c58aacc20433c6dd5e46964e5f6e2483c7b1480a0b8b3d4132755; fixture fixtures/authored/claims/LD04-SL-C19--v1.0.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the repository-authored claim fixture version (SocioLens claim — LD04-SL-C19 v1.0); the first version of a new Claim of the LD-04 debate
CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: repository-authored claim "SocioLens claim — LD04-SL-C19 v1.0" (Project Lead (Claude, AI), 2026-10-14); basis: AGENTS.md "Authority" (the Project Lead decides research content within the research-integrity rules) and the Owner's choice in the SocioLens project chat on 14 October 2026 to build the LD-04 debate; a new Claim, first version, written from the project's LD-04 source notes, checked against full texts or official abstracts
FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-SL-IDE-ARXIV-2507-16078-V9--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 19 — LD04-SL-C19 cites "Ide, “Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge,” arXiv:2507.16078 v9, June 2026"; the only field-6 segment of this ClaimVersion's repository-authored ledger block.
SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-SL-IDE-ARXIV-2507-16078-V9--v1.0 — basis: explicit version-pinned public provenance of this ClaimVersion (Amendment v1.2 §6): the pinned field-6 Source record "Ide, “Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge,” arXiv:2507.16078 v9, June 2026".