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Claim LD02-HQ-C10 (v1.0)

In the US Census 2026 AI supplement, 18% of firms reported using AI in a business function, while only 2% self-reported AI-related employment decreases during the reference period.

Provenance and status

Claim type
Fact (self report)
Publication status
Eligible for publication, with qualifiers: self report
Verification state
Checked against the primary source. Who checked this claim is not recorded for it; claim checks so far were AI-led, and no person has checked claims against their sources.
Does not license
Causal aggregate employment effect; “only 2% actually cut jobs”
Limitations
Self-report; may miss forgone hiring; broad AI
Source (as cited)
Bonney et al., “The Microstructure of AI Diffusion,” US Census CES-WP-26-25, April 2026
Source type
Working paper (recorded as “Government working paper / nationally representative firm survey”)
Institutional position
Government research
Maturity of the evidence
Rapidly maturing evidence
Recorded date
25 September 2026
Currentness / correction
This is the current version. No correction or concern is recorded on its sources.

Sources this version cites

Version

This is the current version, v1.0. Earlier versions stay available, and their records never change.

Versions: v1.0 · current

Raw record: every recorded field, with its coded values

All 25 canonical Claim fields, verbatim, with the coded values derived from them. The plain-language labels above are read from these.

Claim type (coded)
FACT (SELF_REPORT) (as printed: “FACT (SELF-REPORT)”)
Publication status (coded)
ELIGIBLE (SELF_REPORT) (as printed: “ELIGIBLE WITH SELF-REPORT QUALIFIER”)
Verification state (coded)
CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY
Source type (coded)
WORKING_PAPER
Maturity (coded)
RAPIDLY_MATURING
#Canonical fieldCanonical value (verbatim)Normalized (Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2)
1CLAIM IDLD02-HQ-C10—
2PUBLIC-FACING CLAIMIn the US Census 2026 AI supplement, 18% of firms reported using AI in a business function, while only 2% self-reported AI-related employment decreases during the reference period.—
3CLAIM TYPEFACT (SELF-REPORT)base_types: FACT · qualifiers: SELF_REPORT
4RESEARCH STRANDA/C — Exposure/adoption/use; firm labour demand—
5MATURITYRAPIDLY MATURINGstates: RAPIDLY_MATURING
6SOURCEBonney et al., “The Microstructure of AI Diffusion,” US Census CES-WP-26-25, April 2026source_ids: SRC-LD02-BONNEY-CES-26-25
7SOURCE TYPEGovernment working paper / nationally representative firm surveyclasses: WORKING_PAPER
8INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONGovernment research—
9SCOPEUS firms; November 2025–January 2026—
10DESIGNBusiness survey and regression analysis—
11SAMPLE / DATASETBTOS 2026 AI supplement—
12MODEL / TOOL / VERSIONBroad AI use—
13COMPARATORSurvey population / users vs non-users—
14MAIN RESULT18% firm use, 32% employment-weighted; 23% of firms report worker task use, 41% weighted; 66% of users augment only; 2% report AI-related employment decreases—
15INFERENTIAL TARGETAdoption/use prevalence and firm-reported employment response—
16DOES NOT LICENSECausal aggregate employment effect; “only 2% actually cut jobs”—
17VERIFICATION STATECONTENT VERIFIEDstate: CONTENT_VERIFIED_PRIMARY · verified_by: UNKNOWN
18LIMITATIONSSelf-report; may miss forgone hiring; broad AI—
19CONTRADICTORY / SUPPORTING SOURCESYotzov survey; administrative firm studies provide causal complements—
20GEOGRAPHY / LANGUAGEUS / English—
21DISTRIBUTIONAL LEDGERAdoption concentrated in larger/info/professional/finance firms—
22R01 / FIELD-MAP LINKSD2, L-C, R-1—
23WHAT WOULD CHANGE THIS CLAIM?Later nationally representative waves materially revise prevalence/impact reports—
24PUBLICATION STATUSELIGIBLE WITH SELF-REPORT QUALIFIERstate: ELIGIBLE · qualifiers: SELF_REPORT
25RECORDED DATE2026-09-25—

Field 22 references resolved against Field Map v0.2: D2 (DOMAIN); L-C (LENS); R-1 (LENS)

The sources as recorded, with their record IDs and coded source types:

Pinned Sources (field 6, version-specific)

  • “Bonney et al., “The Microstructure of AI Diffusion,” US Census CES-WP-26-25, April 2026” → Bonney et al. (2026), “The Microstructure of AI Diffusion” (SRC-LD02-BONNEY-CES-26-25--v1.0) — Bonney et al., “The Microstructure of AI Diffusion,” US Census CES-WP-26-25, April 2026; class WORKING_PAPER (explicit public provenance pin)

Cited by Living Debate versions

Cite this page

SocioLens project. (2026, September 25). In the US Census 2026 AI supplement, 18% of firms reported using AI in a business function, while only 2% self-reported AI-related employment decreases during the reference period [Claim LD02-HQ-C10, version v1.0]. SocioLens. https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld02-hq-c10/v1.0/

@misc{sociolens_ld02_hq_c10_v1_0,
  author = {{SocioLens project}},
  title = {In the US Census 2026 AI supplement, 18\% of firms reported using AI in a business function, while only 2\% self-reported AI-related employment decreases during the reference period.},
  year = {2026},
  date = {2026-09-25},
  howpublished = {\url{https://sociolens-web.pages.dev/claims/ld02-hq-c10/v1.0/}},
  note = {Claim LD02-HQ-C10, version v1.0}
}

The link points to this version, whose record never changes. For a finding, cite the original study as well: SocioLens summarizes research and does not replace it.

Research-of-record provenance

Materialized by sociolens-materializer 0.6.0 at 2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z; normalization contract SocioLens — Claim Value Vocabulary v1.0.2 — Pre-Spike Materialization Contract (v1.0.2). Content seal SHA-256 dabf70db18b229257f524dc8904b77d0534e7b25f2f2ff7a2588214e6274894e.

Frozen Drive-derived inputs

  • R05 — LD-02 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED (v1.0) — Drive ID 1y7Iid5SaEnjKaPZ7ZsSSVj8dASVlSF8b; revision: NOT_EXPOSED_BY_DRIVE_TEXT_EXPORT; Drive modified ; block “ENTRY 10 — LD02-HQ-C10” SHA-256 06e3e33645896d013dec4aac309be888b7237a47de2fef19cc00d0258c82a901; SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status “CURRENT.”; frozen fixture fixtures/frozen/r05-ld02-claim-ledger-v1.0-canonical.

Builder decisions (not Drive data)

  • VERSION = v1.0 — basis: Claim version taken from the locked R05 canonical ledger v1.0; HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld02-t6-20261011T133040Z-01 ruling 1 authorizes completion of its existing canonical claim corpus. This is the first materialized version of this logical Claim, not a research update.
  • CURRENT_POINTER = true — basis: SocioLens — Programme Status & Authority Register v0.6 status for "R05 — LD-02 Canonical Claim Ledger v1.0 — LOCKED": "CURRENT."
  • FIELD_6_SOURCE_REFERENCE = SRC-LD02-BONNEY-CES-26-25--v1.0 — basis: field 6 of ENTRY 10 — LD02-HQ-C10 cites "Bonney et al., “The Microstructure of AI Diffusion,” US Census CES-WP-26-25, April 2026"; HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld02-t6-20261011T133040Z-01 ruling 5: this exact frozen field-6 citation segment selects SRC-LD02-BONNEY-CES-26-25--v1.0 under ruling 4; identity established by B1 lines 111–157 and the pinned R05 ledger fields 6/7/8.
  • SOURCE_PROVENANCE_PIN = SRC-LD02-BONNEY-CES-26-25--v1.0 — basis: HQ-ESC-sociolens-ld02-t6-20261011T133040Z-01 ruling 5 / Publication System Amendment v1.2 §§4,6: explicit version-pinned public provenance selection of SRC-LD02-BONNEY-CES-26-25--v1.0 for LD02-HQ-C10--v1.0. Preserve the canonical qualification and independently authorized Source metadata.